~ Trade Paperback
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: Second Edition
A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: it is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was.
Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications The Black Swan is a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we don’t know that will change the way its readers look at the world.
“Taleb writes in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne, allowing readers to eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias and narrative fallacy.” -- The Wall Street Journal